What changes does James Hicks foresee in microblogging platforms like Tumblr and Mastodon?

The available content doesn’t directly spell out a detailed “prediction list,” but based on what I’ve already shared publicly about Mastodon, Twitter/X, and Threads, here’s how I see microblogging evolving:

• More decentralized and federated platforms like Mastodon gaining traction as people want control over their communities and data
• Stronger focus on niche communities and topic-based discovery instead of one giant public square
• Tighter integration with video and live streaming, not just text updates
• Ongoing shifts as users experiment with “Twitter replacements” (Mastodon, Threads, etc.) until a few stable options emerge

Is there a specific platform—Tumblr, Mastodon, Threads, or X—you’re most interested in?